Carlsbad, New Mexico 7 Day Weather Forecast

Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation

559
FXUS64 KMAF 102027
AFDMAF

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
227 PM CST Sun Nov 10 2024

...New SHORT TERM, LONG TERM...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 223 PM CST Sun Nov 10 2024

 - Dry and warmer conditions are expected through Tuesday
   afternoon.

 - A cold front moves through the region late Tuesday night/early
   Wednesday morning.

&&


.SHORT TERM...
(This afternoon through Monday night)
Issued at 223 PM CST Sun Nov 10 2024

An upper-level trough with an axis located off the California
coast keeps our area under southwest to zonal flow aloft. Tonight,
clear to mostly clear skies persist, as our lows drop into the upper
30s and lower 40s.

We start off the work week with a warm embrace, as highs continue to
climb up on a warming trend thanks to increased thickness. Mostly
everyone will get into the 70s Monday, with a few locations seeing
low 80s.

Given the return of southerly winds at the surface, along with
better moisture, lows Monday night only dip into the 40s and 50s.
Aside from a few clouds, the "better moisture" does  not amount to
much and the short term period remains without anything in the way
of rainfall.

-Lopez

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Tuesday through Saturday)
Issued at 223 PM CST Sun Nov 10 2024

Little change to the long term forecast as a system approaches the
area on Tuesday and into Wednesday. Southerly, downslope(air moving
from higher to lower altitude) will keep things warm and in the 70s
to 80s for many on Tuesday. A cold front moves through the area
early Wednesday morning bringing cooler and much drier air. Near to
just above normal temperatures hold on for Wednesday and Thursday
before winds shift back to the south and a warming trends returns.
With some low level moisture back in the fold and a weak disturbance
undercutting the high pressure in place, rain chances become
mentionable (between 10-20%) heading into next weekend. This far
out, there are little details to give on how this will play out.
Stay tuned!

-Stickney

&&

.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 1043 AM CST Sun Nov 10 2024

VFR conditions and light winds will continue the next 24 hours.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Big Spring               42  75  49  79 /   0   0   0   0
Carlsbad                 39  74  43  78 /   0   0   0   0
Dryden                   52  80  56  82 /   0   0   0   0
Fort Stockton            44  80  51  86 /   0   0   0   0
Guadalupe Pass           47  69  49  71 /   0   0   0   0
Hobbs                    40  73  44  75 /   0   0   0   0
Marfa                    44  77  47  79 /   0   0   0   0
Midland Intl Airport     42  76  49  79 /   0   0   0   0
Odessa                   44  76  51  79 /   0   0   0   0
Wink                     39  77  49  82 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...None.
NM...None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...95
LONG TERM....93
AVIATION...10